Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.138769 3.766845 4.469811 5.312203 6.291380 7.390713 8.715300
2025-06-01 2.224402 3.016486 3.998371 5.293876 6.945654 8.967547 11.614275
2025-06-08 1.683303 2.534941 3.685821 5.329812 7.588123 10.547407 14.677586
2025-06-15 1.306063 2.159639 3.404196 5.308089 8.093673 11.956583 17.638126
2025-06-22 0.982407 1.775957 3.018796 5.044432 8.182980 12.761636 19.814999
2025-06-29 0.793750 1.554818 2.825082 5.013443 8.575783 14.001448 22.691143
2025-07-06 0.649276 1.372454 2.653726 4.977151 8.933614 15.198083 25.585509
2025-07-13 0.586833 1.323419 2.695662 5.292281 9.880464 17.377891 30.162106
2025-07-20 0.515387 1.240069 2.659042 5.458425 10.585317 19.220635 34.342698
2025-07-27 0.467158 1.193056 2.680397 5.727100 11.488299 21.455679 39.324145
2025-08-03 0.399054 1.087002 2.566841 5.721471 11.890515 22.865768 43.023821
2025-08-10 0.324898 0.948729 2.362156 5.504687 11.869514 23.525458 45.474399
2025-08-17 0.258860 0.814551 2.145035 5.236806 11.731378 23.984752 47.655074
2025-08-24 0.220419 0.741550 2.051734 5.216308 12.077032 25.356821 51.574521
2025-08-31 0.191112 0.685661 1.988188 5.250928 12.536065 26.975840 56.061267
2025-09-07 0.163518 0.626723 1.905751 5.229190 12.871273 28.378649 60.237843
2025-09-14 0.130433 0.539933 1.733974 4.968896 12.658544 28.678820 62.324502
2025-09-21 0.111561 0.493698 1.661214 4.938280 12.948454 30.007136 66.494026
2025-09-28 0.095399 0.451445 1.590881 4.902456 13.220213 31.315029 70.705720
2025-10-05 0.091338 0.453281 1.649975 5.213429 14.334031 34.468395 78.831578
2025-10-12 0.083535 0.437944 1.654260 5.377393 15.111500 36.957111 85.746110
2025-10-19 0.078840 0.433962 1.693405 5.642562 16.160102 40.102506 94.201068
2025-10-26 0.068721 0.402932 1.639290 5.637006 16.536006 41.796393 99.714643